Model Report: B_drop_centred_unit, sigma_w sd = 0.25 NB (t2m_mean_pop_weighted(0))

Timing

Posterior Sampling: 175.18 seconds

Log Likelihood Compute: 3.14 seconds

Summary

mean sd hdi_3% hdi_97% mcse_mean mcse_sd ess_bulk ess_tail r_hat
intercept -9.917 0.016 -9.945 -9.886 0.000 0.000 11276.0 5920.0 1.00
sigma 0.368 0.005 0.359 0.378 0.000 0.000 11809.0 5699.0 1.00
sigma_w 1.007 0.148 0.738 1.289 0.004 0.002 1677.0 2862.0 1.00
w[0] -1.476 0.437 -2.276 -0.615 0.013 0.007 1136.0 2056.0 1.00
w[1] 1.987 0.293 1.447 2.563 0.010 0.006 851.0 1349.0 1.01
w[2] 1.928 0.528 0.985 2.983 0.019 0.012 742.0 1182.0 1.01
w[3] 1.956 0.433 1.175 2.815 0.016 0.010 747.0 1208.0 1.01
w[4] 2.173 0.507 1.222 3.138 0.019 0.012 738.0 1135.0 1.01
w[5] 1.465 0.301 0.914 2.042 0.011 0.007 812.0 1412.0 1.01
w[6] 0.946 0.413 0.165 1.709 0.013 0.008 997.0 1789.0 1.01
w[7] -0.540 0.912 -2.253 1.187 0.010 0.011 8216.0 5966.0 1.00

Trace Plot

Pair Plot

Spline Plot